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CSI/SBE Construction Outlook 2012 offers some optimism
DeWITT — Speakers at this year’s local Construction Outlook conference took on a more hopeful tone than in previous years, Stephen Poplarski said at the close of the event. “From what I’ve seen and heard today from our speakers, I think the outlook is much brighter than it has been in the last four years,” […]
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DeWITT — Speakers at this year’s local Construction Outlook conference took on a more hopeful tone than in previous years, Stephen Poplarski said at the close of the event.
“From what I’ve seen and heard today from our speakers, I think the outlook is much brighter than it has been in the last four years,” said Poplarski, who is treasurer of the Syracuse chapter of the Construction Specification Institute (CSI).
CSI and the Syracuse Builders Exchange (SBE) hosted the Construction Outlook 2012 on March 26 at the Best Western Plus on Old Collamer Road S. in DeWitt. It was the fourth year for the program, which brings together representatives from construction, architectural, and engineering firms to address CSI and SBE members.
Just over 100 people attended the event, according to CSI Syracuse Chapter President Kevin Phillips. Nine speakers discussed the state of the construction market and upcoming projects.
The first speaker was Steven Moolin, principal at Beardsley Design Associates Architecture, Engineering & Landscape Architecture, P.C., which has offices in Auburn, Syracuse, and Malone. About 60 percent of the firm’s revenue is coming from government work, from barracks at Fort Drum to window replacements through the state Office of General Services to work at the village level, he said.
“We’re doing an awful lot of work in existing buildings,” Moolin said. “I think the message is people are looking to do more with what they have currently.”
QPK Design is also seeing increased activity in the military and government sector, according to Vincent Nicotra, partner at the Syracuse–based architectural, engineering, and site-planning firm.
The medical market has been strong over the last few years but tailed off slightly recently, he said. And QPK is seeing some private-development retail activity, according to Nicotra, although he said he could not share specifics.
“We have, I think, in the short term what I would call a little bit of a mix of everything,” he said. “We keep thinking every six months that it’s going to take off, and then it seems to pick up and then it sort of eases off a little bit. But I think it’s more encouraging than maybe it was a year ago.”
Syracuse–based Holmes King Kallquist & Associates, Architects has plenty of reason to be encouraged, according to partner Carlton Holmes. The firm is busy and seeing activity in all sectors that it serves, he said.
Those sectors include housing, industrial work, retail, religious work, government work, and interiors. They also include what Holmes said is a major source of activity: universities.
“Right now, the universities are spending a ton of money,” he said. “At some point it’s going to stop. But in any case, they’re doing a lot of work right now, so jump on quick while it’s going.”
Paul Levesque, a principal at HOLT Architects, P.C. in Ithaca, expressed more cautious optimism. The year is shaping up to be positive, but HOLT is experiencing a lot of competition from firms based outside of the upstate New York area, he said.
One reason for optimism is a large number of clients doing planning studies, according to Levesque.
“That’s a good thing,” he said. “When we see that, it makes us feel good because there’s a future.”
Demolition and infrastructure work will be popular in the future, predicted Paul Moyer, executive vice president of The Pike Co., a construction-services company based in Rochester that has a regional office at 711 N. Townsend St. in Syracuse.
Environmental regulations are leading to coal-fired power plants shutting down around the country, Moyer said. He did not name any local plants that are slated to close.
“With these, there’s a lot of demolition removal, asbestos removal, abatement that will be coming up,” Moyer said.
James D’Aloisio, principal at the DeWitt–based structural engineering, landscape architecture, and building science firm Klepper, Hahn & Hyatt, said the company has seen a decline in work at K-12 schools. About five years ago, 75 percent of its work was in those schools, but just 25 percent is in schools now, D’Aloisio said.
Building-envelope assessment has turned into an excellent niche for the firm, he said. A building envelope is the barrier between the inside and outside of a building. Assessments can save school districts and senior facilities money, according to D’Aloisio.
“That’s where I see potential future markets,” he said. “Not just in square footage or bigger, more elegant buildings, but tighter buildings, better designed buildings.”
Other speakers included Peter Lindabury, executive vice president at RobsonWoese, Inc. in Salina. Lindabury started by explaining RobsonWoese’s acquisition late last year by GHD, Inc., and that it will soon be changing its name to some derivation of GHD.
He also discussed financing for construction projects.
“My contact at GHD basically said banks are starting to lend more money, but it’s still slow,” Lindabury said. “He says the money’s just not pouring out quite yet.”
Lisa Loftus, senior marketing coordinator at Syracuse–based King + King Architects LLP, said her firm is anticipating it will work on construction projects valued at a total of about $106 million this year. Major markets include health care and education, she said.
Ron Kenyon, the Syracuse City School District’s architect and educational facilities planner, rounded out the speaker list. Kenyon explained the district’s $926 million reconstruction program to renovate 35 schools. That program is currently in its first phase, which consists of six separate schools, he said.
New iSchool certificate takes on big data
SYRACUSE — A new certificate at the Syracuse University School of Information Studies (iSchool) aims to give students the tools to analyze the massive amounts of information generated pretty much everywhere in the modern world. The school announced the certificate March 21. It’s the first state-approved certificate of advanced study in the topic area of
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SYRACUSE — A new certificate at the Syracuse University School of Information Studies (iSchool) aims to give students the tools to analyze the massive amounts of information generated pretty much everywhere in the modern world.
The school announced the certificate March 21. It’s the first state-approved certificate of advanced study in the topic area of data science in New York.
Its goal is to give students the skills to analyze and take advantage of large amounts of information for all types of organizations. The program is intended for both graduate students and working professionals.
“This allows people to capture this data and allows people to see patterns,” says Erin Bartolo, the iSchool’s program manager for the data-science initiative. “Predictive analysis is not new, but what is new is the ability to do this with such big data sets.”
The program will also include specializations like data analytics and visualization.
The certificate has roots in science. Several years ago, the iSchool was working with physicists to help them analyze large amounts of data using connected grids of computers, says Jeffrey Stanton, associate dean for research and doctoral programs at the school. It became apparent during that work that the problems faced by physicists in dealing with large data sets were also present in the corporate world.
The new certificate is the result, Stanton says.
The fields involved in data science have been around for a long time, he notes. But they’ve been isolated.
Working with large amounts of data requires expertise in everything from statistics to systems.
“It’s so large and complex that it’s gone beyond any one discipline’s ability to deal with it,” Stanton says of the world of modern data. “You need an interdisciplinary approach.”
Even the simple key-ring tags shoppers get from their local grocery stores generate massive quantities of data every month. It’s
only recently that organizations have started to realize that in the right hands, that information can provide a competitive advantage, Stanton says.
The data-science certificate will give students the chance to pursue more technical careers in fields like software development, he adds.
They could also pursue a different tack and focus on communication and presentation. Many times, organizations need individuals to help bridge the gap between employees with data skills and the decisionmakers, Stanton says.
Another career possibility is data curation. Figuring out the best way to store data sets so they can be easily used in the future for a wide range of applications is critical for many organizations, Stanton says.
Fields in need of those with data-science skills include clinical research, defense intelligence, customer behavior, medical diagnosis, and risk management, according to the iSchool.
A 2011 report from the McKinsey Global Institute, the business and economics research arm of consulting firm McKinsey & Co., estimated that the United States could face a shortage of 140,000 to 190,000 people with deep analytical skills in the next few years. The report also noted a potential shortage of 1.5 million managers and analysts with the knowledge needed to use analysis of big data to make effective decisions.
Profit falls 46 percent at Beacon Federal in Q4
DeWITT — Profit at Beacon Federal Bancorp (NASDAQ: BFED) fell more than 46 percent in the fourth quarter to $763,000, or 13 cents a share.
State gains jobs, unemployment rate edges up
New York’s economy added 21,300 private-sector jobs in February, according to the state Department of Labor. Over the past year, the state added 138,500 net
The income gap: Reframing the debate
In his January State of the Union address, President Barack Obama declared that the American dream was under siege. The president promised to shrink the income gap between rich and poor, calling it “the defining issue of our time … No challenge is more urgent. No debate is more important.” The president continued, “We can
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In his January State of the Union address, President Barack Obama declared that the American dream was under siege. The president promised to shrink the income gap between rich and poor, calling it “the defining issue of our time … No challenge is more urgent. No debate is more important.” The president continued, “We can either settle for a country where a shrinking number of people do really well, while a growing number of Americans barely get by. Or we can restore an economy where everyone gets a fair shot, everyone does their fair share, and everyone plays by the same rules.”
The “debate” has already been framed by the liberal community, the “poverty industry,” and most of the media. They all agree that there is a growing gap between rich and poor. This “inequality” is the fundamental problem in our society and inherently unjust. The gap is the basis for a redistributionist policy to equalize prosperity. Requiring the “rich” to pay more is only fair, because they are inhibiting the poor from moving up the ladder of economic success, the argument goes.
Mr. President, I agree that we need a debate on the issue. So let me start by saying that the premise is wrong on three counts.
First, the statistical basis for the “gap” is derived from U.S. Census Bureau figures that only measure pre-tax, money income. The definition of money income includes earnings from salary, commissions, and bonuses; interest; dividends; Social Security benefits; pensions; alimony; workers’ compensation; and rents. Based on the Census Bureau numbers, the top quintile in America receives $15 in income for every dollar of income received by those in the bottom quintile.
Missing from the Census Bureau definition of income are items such as employee health-insurance benefits, the earned-income tax credit, food stamps, school-lunch programs, public housing, Medicare, and Medicaid. The Census Bureau figures also fail to account for taxes paid by the top quintile, which substantially reduces the differential between the highest and lowest earners. Add to this that the unit of measurement is households rather than individuals, which distorts the fact that the top quintile includes 24.6 percent of the population while the bottom quintile only includes 14.3 percent.
The gap is further aggravated by the use of the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U). The CPI-U regularly overstates inflation, thus understating the purchasing power of those classified as poor. Over 30 years, an annual misstatement of just one percent leads to a 33-percent difference in determining median incomes. Back in 1996, the Boskin Commission concluded that the annual CPI-U bias was, in fact, above one percent.
If you adjust the Census Bureau numbers with the above considerations, the disparity drops from $15-to-$1 in the highest quintile versus the lowest quintile to just $4-to-$1. If the adults in each of the two quintiles actually worked the same number of hours, the ratio falls to $2.91 in the highest quintile against $1 in the lowest.
Second, even if we adjust for money-income figures, is that still the best indicator of an individual’s well being? Or, is consumption a better indicator of how well those under the poverty line are faring? If consumption is your guide, there is a notable rise in the material comforts of the poor over the last three decades, reflected in substantially larger percentages of the poor owning items such as homes, cars, central air-conditioners, washers, and driers. While the official rates of poverty show an absolute increase, calculations based on net income plus transfers-and-benefits plus consumption show a three-point drop in poverty.
Third, the obsession with a gap between rich and poor is based on the moral argument that inequality is unfair and poverty is the direct result of a capitalist system that inhibits mobility. The wealthy are not the reason that the poor are poor nor is the economic pie fixed so that one group inevitably takes from another. To the nation’s founders, equality meant the same right to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. No one, by virtue of birth, has the right to dominate another. We all must be treated equally before the law. Finally, every life has equal value or worth, and everyone should have an opportunity to live freely and to contribute to society.
The founders also recognized that not every citizen has equal faculties nor requires equal material circumstances. They also were skeptical of government being other than a last resort to prevent its citizens from falling below a threshold of material living, preferring to rely on family, church, private charities, and civic organizations.
The focus on inequality may garner votes among the electorate by promoting a status of victimhood, but it doesn’t address the real problems of poverty such as trapping students in failing schools, excusing personal responsibility, and de-emphasizing the importance of a strong family.
We need to reframe the debate on poverty to develop policies that actually solve the problem. We need to shift our attention from redistributing the fruits of those who earned them to redistributing our moral attention. Only then will we truly help the poor.
Norman Poltenson is the publisher of The Central New York Business Journal. Contact him at npoltenson@cnybj.com
Tops reports positive Q4, full-year results
The parent company of the supermarket chain Tops Markets, LLC generated $1.2 million in net income in the fourth quarter of 2011, capping a year
Bravo! As I write this editorial, the pundits are 99 percent certain that our elected officials will present us with another on-time budget for New York State. Kudos to Gov. Andrew Cuomo for encouraging the state legislature to complete its work in a timely fashion. Of course, the governor made it clear that he would
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Bravo! As I write this editorial, the pundits are 99 percent certain that our elected officials will present us with another on-time budget for New York State.
Kudos to Gov. Andrew Cuomo for encouraging the state legislature to complete its work in a timely fashion. Of course, the governor made it clear that he would use the political cudgel — euphemistically called the “extender” — unearthed during the David Paterson administration. The extender gives him the executive authority to implement his executive budget if the legislature fails to act in a timely fashion.
The new budget is filled with positive achievements. First, total spending (federal and state revenue combined) remains flat at around $132.5 billion for the second year in a row, with state-funds spending up only 1.9 percent. Second, Medicaid growth is capped at around 4 percent, well below double-digit figures experienced in recent years. Third, school aid, now tied to the growth of New York’s personal income, increases $800 million in the 2012-2013 budget or around 4 percent.
Fourth, the budget deficits for last year’s and this year’s budgets, projected at $25 billion, are now only $2 billion, a 92-percent reduction. Most importantly, the reduction was achieved without the usual fiscal gimmicks or any borrowing for operating expenses. Fifth, property taxes continue to be capped at 2 percent, unless 60 percent of a locality votes to override the restriction.
Sixth, the governor and legislature have committed to relieve county and municipal governments from rising Medicaid costs. While the change doesn’t begin until next year’s budget, local governments can now plan that future Medicaid growth will be borne by the state. Seventh, Gov. Cuomo continues to push a redesign of how state government functions by consolidating programs and streamlining operations, even while controlling any growth in the number of state employees.
Eighth, the governor is focused on building a public-private, $15 billion infrastructure fund to maintain and develop the state’s bridges, highways, parks, wastewater treatment plants, and flood-control projects. And ninth, he has also wisely set up regional councils to compete with innovative projects for state funds that are tailored to the needs of each region.
In summary, Gov. Cuomo gets high marks for reining in the historic spendthrift mentality and substantially slowing the growth of state-government spending, without the usual legerdemain. He expended some political capital by taking on the state’s public-employee unions to freeze their pay and reduce the size of government, which translates into fewer union members and reduced dues. When compared to his predecessors over the last three decades, except for a few years of the Pataki administration, the governor has acted forcefully to put the state on a sustainable, financial footing.
But has the governor put the Empire State on a competitive path “… to remind the world that New York is ‘Open for Business,’” as promised in his executive budget presented on Jan. 17? Of this, I’m less optimistic.
First, Medicaid and school-aid together represent more than 56 percent of the all-government-funds budget. Total federal, state, and local Medicaid spending represents an expenditure of $54 billion, with the state committing $15.5 billion. New York spends more than twice the national average ($2,604 per-capita) on Medicaid and more than California and Texas combined. The cost is tied to the generosity of the program benefits and to the fact that New York has enrolled 5 million residents, up 84 percent just since 2000 while the population has remained static. The governor has given no consideration either to limiting the benefits or to restricting Medicaid enrollment.
Second, school-aid represents an expenditure of nearly $21 billion, the largest single item in the state-funds budget, representing 30 percent of all state funds expended. While some will applaud the slower growth of the program, New York public schools spend on average $18,126 annually per student, 73 percent above the national average. No one claims that New York students are brighter because of the higher cost; still, higher-education is looked upon as a sacred cow whose funding can’t be reduced. To his credit, Gov. Cuomo had budgeted $250 million in grants to improve performance in the public schools based on achievement, but settled for $50 million, while the remainder was simply sprinkled by the legislature among all of the school districts.
Third, I find no effort in the new budget to reduce the ballooning state debt, which now consumes $6.362 billion in annual interest payments, an increase of 7.2 percent over last year. The interest payments only represent debt incurred directly by the state, with at least twice as much debt incurred by state agencies and carried off the state’s books. Perhaps a repayment program is buried somewhere in the budget, but I see no program to tackle the state’s debt over time.
Fourth, the governor campaigned for office on a pledge not to impose new taxes to fix New York’s budget problems. This promise lasted until December of last year when Gov. Cuomo signed-on to the millionaire’s tax. His new budget anticipates $2 billion in additional revenue, much of which is transferred to the “middle class” as a tax credit. The governor is fully aware that higher taxes on millionaires tends to drive them out of the state and never produces the anticipated revenue. In this case, politics trumped logic.
Fifth, what happened to transparency? Gov. Cuomo campaigned against government conducted by three men in a room. The 2012-2013 budget still emanates from three men in a room negotiating behind closed doors. The minorities in the Senate and Assembly only find out what’s in the budget when they read about it in the media. So much for openness in government.
Sixth, the governor punted when it came to pension reform. He boldly proposed a Tier-6 level for new state employees that would increase employee contributions, offer a defined-contribution option, raise the retirement age from 62 to 65, prohibit early retirement, decrease the final average salary from 60 percent to 50 percent, and exclude overtime and other payments from the formula used to calculate final average salaries for pension allowances. Gov. Cuomo projected a savings of $80 billion over 30 years.
Despite the fact that New Yorkers will spend $13 billion this year to fund state pensions, nearly 10 percent of the entire budget, Gov. Cuomo agreed to raise the retirement age by only one year, limited the defined-contribution plan to a few non-union employees, and gave up on cutting the workers’ annuities by up to 16 percent. In short, the governor rolled over for the unions on pension reform, knowing full well that as soon as the economy recovers, organized labor will pressure its legislature allies to raise the pension benefits.
Final grade: B-.
To raise his grade, Gov. Cuomo needs to take on pension reform. His model should be Gina Raimondo, the state treasurer of Rhode Island, who spent months convincing her fellow Democrats that serious reform was needed now for the present work force, not for some time in the future. The new Rhode Island law shifts all workers from a defined-benefit plan to a hybrid plan consisting of a modest annuity and a defined-contribution plan. The plan also raises the retirement age from 62 to 67.
Gov. Cuomo also needs to attack the basic problems of Medicaid enrollment and its overly generous benefits along with the extraordinarily high cost of public education, not tied to performance improvement. Slowing the rate of state funding in New York is not enough; we need to lower the total cost now by spending less.
And finally, until Cuomo institutes a plan to reduce the state’s debt obligations, the Empire State is not set on a path to prosperity. If we want the world to know that New York is truly open for business, there is still much for the governor to do and more political capital he needs to expend.
Norman Poltenson is publisher of The Central New York Business Journal. Contact him at npoltenson@cnybj.com
Reduce Your Tax Burden With the Proper Business Structure
Business owners can adopt a variety of legal structures, including a general partnership, limited partnership, registered limited-liability partnership (LLP), limited-liability company, C-corporation, sub S-corporation, professional-services
Federal funds available for development projects
The state announced $1.2 million in grant funding under a program administered by the Northern Border Regional Commission (NBRC) intended to alleviate economic distress and
Syracuse cracks list of top-20 performing American cities
Business Insider has named Syracuse the 16th best-performing city in America. The ranking is part of The 20 Best-Performing Cities in America, a Business Insider
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